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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">donstu</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">Advanced Engineering Research (Rostov-on-Don)</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Advanced Engineering Research (Rostov-on-Don)</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2687-1653</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Don State Technical University</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.23947/2687-1653-2020-20-3-216-224</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">donstu-1686</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>MECHANICS</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>МЕХАНИКА</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Probabilistic design strategy for improved Austin-Moore stem used in artificial cementless hip prosthesis considering material property uncertainty</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Вероятностная стратегия проектирования усовершенствованного стержня ОстинаМура, используемого в искусственном бесцементном эндопротезе тазобедренного сустава</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8344-9270</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Харманда</surname><given-names>М. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kharmanda</surname><given-names>G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Ghais Kharmanda- Guest Researcher, LMN, INSA Rouen Normandie, Cand.Sci. (Eng.).</p><p>St. 685 avenue de l universite BP08, 76801</p><p>ResearcherID: O-6690- 2018</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">g.kharmanda@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8141-9529</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Антибас</surname><given-names>И. Р.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Antypas</surname><given-names>I. R.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Imad R. Antypas, associate professor of the Machine Design Principles Department, Cand.Sci. (Eng.)</p><p>1, Gagarin Square, Rostov-on-Don, 344000</p><p>ResearcherID: O-4789-2018</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">Imad.antypas@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>INSA Rouen Normandie</institution><country>Франция</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>INSA Rouen Normandie</institution><country>France</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФГБОУ ВО «Донской государственный технический университет»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Don State Technical University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2020</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>02</day><month>10</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><volume>20</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>216</fpage><lpage>224</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Kharmanda G., Antypas I.R., 2020</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2020</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Харманда М.Г., Антибас И.Р.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kharmanda G., Antypas I.R.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.vestnik-donstu.ru/jour/article/view/1686">https://www.vestnik-donstu.ru/jour/article/view/1686</self-uri><abstract><sec><title>Introduction</title><p>Introduction. The use of probabilistic analysis is important when the input data are random, that leads to stochastic results. This paper describes the integration of a probabilistic design strategy of the solid and hollow stems implanted in a proximal femur in order to compare their advantages. The used hollow stem is called “Improved Austin-Moore” (IAM) model.</p></sec><sec><title>Materials and Methods</title><p> Materials and Methods. Probabilistic methods allow variations in factors which control the biomechanical effects of the implanted femur to be taken into account while determining its performance. Different material properties were generated randomly using Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). Monte Carlo sampling techniques were applied, and different von Mises stresses of the layers (bone and metal) were chosen as a performance indicator.</p></sec><sec><title>Results</title><p> Results. A simple 2D implant-bone study of solid and IAM stem design was carried out with a high level of confidence, 99.87%, which corresponds to a target reliability index with regard to statistical uncertainties. The probabilistic design results show that the input and output parameters for the IAM stem are highly correlated relative to those for the solid stem.</p><p> Discussion and Conclusions. The sensitivity analysis shows that the input parameters for the IAM stem play a much larger part in the output parameters relative to the solid stem. The IAM stem is much more advantageous than the solid stem which causes an increase in the performance of the hip prosthesis.</p></sec></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="ru"><sec><title>Введение</title><p>Введение. использование вероятностного анализа важно тогда, когда входные данные случайны, что приводит к стохастическим результатам. Эта статья описывает интеграцию вероятностной стратегии проектирования сплошных и полых стержней, имплантируемых в проксимальный отдел бедра, для проведения сравнения их преимуществ. Используемый полый стержень получил название «Улучшенная модель Остина-Мура» (IAM).</p></sec><sec><title>Материалы и методы</title><p> Материалы и методы. Вероятностные методы позволяют учитывать различия в факторах, контролирующие биомеханические эффекты имплантированного бедра при определении его эффективности. Различные свойства применяемого материала генерировались случайным образом с помощью метода Монте-Карло (MCS), который также был использован для выборки проб, а в качестве показателя эффективности были выбраны различные напряжения по-Мизесу слоёв (кости и металла).</p></sec><sec><title>Результаты</title><p> Результаты. Простое двухмерное исследование кости имплантата со сплошным и IAM-дизайном стержня проводился с высоким уровнем достоверности  99,87%, что соответствует целевому индексу надежности с учетом статистической неопределенности. Результаты вероятностного проектирования показывают, что входные и выходные параметры для стержня IAM сильно коррелированы относительно параметров сплошного стержня. Обсуждение и выводы. Анализ чувствительности показывает, что входные параметры для IAM − стержня играют гораздо более значительную роль в выходных параметрах по сравнению со сплошным стержнем. Стержень IAM намного более выгоден, чем стержень сплошного сечения, что приводит к повышению производительности протеза тазобедренного сустава.</p></sec></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>протез бедра</kwd><kwd>вероятностный анализ</kwd><kwd>анализ методом конечных элементов</kwd><kwd>моделирование по методу Монте-Карло</kwd><kwd>модель IAM</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>hip prosthesis</kwd><kwd>probabilistic analysis</kwd><kwd>finite element analysis</kwd><kwd>Monte Carlo simulation</kwd><kwd>IAM model</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Gonzalez CD. Probabilistic Finite Element Analysis of Un-cemented Total Hip Replacement, PhD thesis. School of Engineering Sciences, Bioengineering Sciences Research Group: University of Southampton; March 2009.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Gonzalez CD. 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